{"id":4749,"date":"2025-12-08T13:50:46","date_gmt":"2025-12-08T13:50:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.andex-rhp.org\/?p=4749"},"modified":"2025-12-08T13:50:49","modified_gmt":"2025-12-08T13:50:49","slug":"fuentes-de-humedad-de-las-precipitaciones-utilizando-simulaciones-que-permiten-la-conveccion-un-estudio-sobre-sudamerica","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.andex-rhp.org\/?p=4749","title":{"rendered":"Fuentes de humedad de las precipitaciones utilizando simulaciones que permiten la convecci\u00f3n: un estudio sobre Sudam\u00e9rica"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Por Erick Claros*\/<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cuantificar las fuentes de humedad de la precipitaci\u00f3n es fundamental para identificar las dependencias cr\u00edticas entre la lluvia y la evaporaci\u00f3n de las regiones terrestres y oce\u00e1nicas, especialmente en el contexto del cambio clim\u00e1tico y los cambios en el uso del suelo. Los modelos clim\u00e1ticos num\u00e9ricos son una herramienta clave para este prop\u00f3sito; sin embargo, la mayor\u00eda de los estudios multidecadales han utilizado modelos de resoluci\u00f3n gruesa que parametrizan la convecci\u00f3n y pueden pasar por alto procesos y caracter\u00edsticas importantes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En este estudio analizamos modelos que permiten la convecci\u00f3n (convection-permitting models, CPM), los cuales representan la lluvia de manera m\u00e1s realista que los modelos tradicionales que parametrizan la convecci\u00f3n (no CPM). Comparamos simulaciones CPM y no CPM de un a\u00f1o, ambas con trazadores de humedad, para la cuenca del Amazonas. Encontramos diferencias importantes en la precipitaci\u00f3n de origen local, especialmente en los Andes Centrales, donde hasta el 50 % de la lluvia proviene de la evaporaci\u00f3n amaz\u00f3nica en el caso CPM.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Si bien los CPM con trazadores pueden mejorar nuestra comprensi\u00f3n de las fuentes de humedad, realizar simulaciones multidecadales para obtener estimaciones climatol\u00f3gicas resulta muy costoso. Para abordar este desaf\u00edo, actualizamos un modelo m\u00e1s simple (2L-DRM) que ofrece resultados similares a una fracci\u00f3n del costo computacional (0.077 %). Este modelo hace uso de los resultados de simulaciones CPM est\u00e1ndar (sin trazadores), ampliamente disponibles para muchas regiones y continentes. Usando este modelo y las salidas de una simulaci\u00f3n clim\u00e1tica CPM de Sudam\u00e9rica (2000\u20132021), estimamos el origen de la precipitaci\u00f3n en el continente, dividido en 15 regiones para un mejor an\u00e1lisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los resultados destacan la importancia de la Cuenca Amaz\u00f3nica como proveedora de humedad para la precipitaci\u00f3n. En la regi\u00f3n 9 (Cuenca del Pac\u00edfico Peruana), un tercio de la precipitaci\u00f3n depende de la evaporaci\u00f3n amaz\u00f3nica, mientras que en la regi\u00f3n 8 (Altiplano) esta fuente representa alrededor de una cuarta parte. Si bien las tasas de precipitaci\u00f3n de origen local m\u00e1s altas corresponden a la Cuenca Amaz\u00f3nica (26 %) y a la Cuenca del Plata (19 %), resulta notable que, a pesar de su peque\u00f1o tama\u00f1o, el Altiplano presente un valor de 18%, lo que resalta la importancia de la evaporaci\u00f3n local para la precipitaci\u00f3n en esta regi\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Adem\u00e1s, entre las fuentes oce\u00e1nicas analizadas, el Atl\u00e1ntico Norte y el Pac\u00edfico Sur son las m\u00e1s importantes en t\u00e9rminos de contribuci\u00f3n de humedad, mientras que los oc\u00e9anos Atl\u00e1ntico Sur y Pac\u00edfico Norte tienen un efecto m\u00ednimo.Los resultados de la simulaci\u00f3n continental con 2L-DRM se proveen de forma libre en el art\u00edculo, permitiendo estudios locales m\u00e1s detallados o an\u00e1lisis en regiones no consideradas en el estudio. Este enfoque abre la puerta a estudios de escala clim\u00e1tica m\u00e1s completos y detallados sobre las fuentes de humedad de la precipitaci\u00f3n, sin la necesidad de utilizar trazadores de alto costo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"646\" src=\"https:\/\/www.andex-rhp.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/PAPER_plot_maps-1024x646.png\" alt=\"(a) Dominio de simulaci\u00f3n WRF-WVT (rect\u00e1ngulo rojo) y regi\u00f3n fuente (cuenca del Amazonas) delineada en azul. (b) Dominio de simulaci\u00f3n 2L-DRM sobre Sudam\u00e9rica y regiones fuente definidas.\" class=\"wp-image-4748\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.andex-rhp.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/PAPER_plot_maps-1024x646.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.andex-rhp.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/PAPER_plot_maps-300x189.png 300w, https:\/\/www.andex-rhp.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/PAPER_plot_maps-768x485.png 768w, https:\/\/www.andex-rhp.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/PAPER_plot_maps-1536x969.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.andex-rhp.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/PAPER_plot_maps-2048x1292.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">(a) Dominio de simulaci\u00f3n WRF-WVT (rect\u00e1ngulo rojo) y regi\u00f3n fuente (cuenca del Amazonas) delineada en azul. (b) Dominio de simulaci\u00f3n 2L-DRM sobre Sudam\u00e9rica y regiones fuente definidas.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>*Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>1<\/sup>Claros, E., Dominguez, F., &amp; Liu, C.(2025). Moisture sources of precipitation\u00a0using convection\u2010permitting simulations:\u00a0A study over South America. Geophysical\u00a0ResearchLetters, 52, e2025GL118806.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2025GL118806\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2025GL118806<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Por Erick Claros*\/ Cuantificar las fuentes de humedad de la precipitaci\u00f3n es fundamental para identificar las dependencias cr\u00edticas entre la lluvia y la evaporaci\u00f3n de las regiones terrestres y oce\u00e1nicas, especialmente en el contexto del cambio clim\u00e1tico y los cambios en el uso del suelo. Los modelos clim\u00e1ticos num\u00e9ricos son una herramienta clave para este [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[175,38,62,80],"class_list":["post-4749","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-lecturas","tag-cpm","tag-precipitacion","tag-simulacion","tag-sudamerica","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Fuentes de humedad de las precipitaciones utilizando simulaciones que permiten la convecci\u00f3n: un estudio sobre Sudam\u00e9rica - Programa Hidroclim\u00e1tico Regional para los Andes<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.andex-rhp.org\/?p=4749\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fuentes de humedad de las precipitaciones utilizando simulaciones que permiten la convecci\u00f3n: un estudio sobre Sudam\u00e9rica - Programa Hidroclim\u00e1tico Regional para los Andes\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Por Erick Claros*\/ Cuantificar las fuentes de humedad de la precipitaci\u00f3n es fundamental para identificar las dependencias cr\u00edticas entre la lluvia y la evaporaci\u00f3n de las regiones terrestres y oce\u00e1nicas, especialmente en el contexto del cambio clim\u00e1tico y los cambios en el uso del suelo. 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